All Castleford have to do is avoid defeat to local rivals Wakefield on Thursday Night Rugby and they will win the league leaders shield, with a massive points difference they’ve all but mathematically won it anyway, but it’s a great achievement to win it with 4 games to spare.
The Tigers fans will love to win it on home soil and Daryl Powell has already stated that his side won’t be taking their foot of the pedal, whether that happens as we get nearer the play offs remains to be seen but the league leaders will be well up for the visit of Wakefield .
Daryl Powell’s side are boosted by the return of the influential Junior Moors and free scoring Greg Eden whilst Chris Chester welcomes back Mason Caton Brown to add to his squad that won impressively against Leeds last week.
Obviously the bookies make Cas clear favourites to win this, around 1/5 is as good as you can get for the hosts but they did lose last time out at home to St Helens. They won comfortably enough in the end at out of form Salford but the scoreline probably flattered the Tigers.
Trinity have put some decent results together at home but have struggled away.
As good as they were against Leeds last week they were awful at Huddersfield the week previous
Whilst on paper Wakefield”s away record looks OK they’ve struggled at the other sides in the top 4 and I can’t see them landing odds of around 4/1 to win this.
Another game that’s tough to call on the handicap in the mad unpredictable world of Super League, Trinity get a 14 point start on the handicap, 16 if you shop around, and that just may be enough.
Cas aren’t blowing teams away like they were at the start of the season and you get the feeling they may just be happy to get the win so the celebrations can start.
There’s always a worry that Cas can turn it on, but if Wakefield play like they did against Leeds last week they should be able to stay inside 3 scores.
A home win by around 11-15 points is about how I see this ending up so the handicap does look about right.
There were 66 points in the regular season game here between these 2 and the value could be going high on points in what should be an entertaining game.
Eden is back and very short to score the 1st try at 6/1, whilst it’s hard to argue against him Hardaker is in good try scoring form and decent value at 12/1.
Whilst Ben Jones Bishop is the shortest price in Wakefield blue at 12/1 but I like Reece Lyne at 25/1 who’s already scored 9 tries this season.
Finally the man of the match, Gale is very short as a 9/2 favourite but very difficult to oppose considering the short price to win the game.
There is always the worry that a multi tryscorer could steal the award and whilst Hardaker is definitely a threat 11/2 is very short.
If you wanted an alternative than 12/1 for England hopeful Mcshane is decent value but I prefer Gale even at the short odds.
As for Trinity, there’s plenty of value about as the shortest price is for Miller at 14/1, I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him at those odds but Finn is also a danger at 22/1, Fifita is possibly also overpriced at 25/1 but the best value has to be for Finn, so it’s him and Gale for me.
Saints travel to Headingley on Sky Friday, as always please gamble responsibly.