The Sky Cameras are at LSV tomorrow for the battle of the borough between Leigh and Wigan.
Both sides are on a dire run of results, Wigan haven’t won since April and the Centurions have only won once in their last 11 games.
Injuries still continue to hamper the Champions, Gildart is back after 8 weeks out but Powell can be added to the absentee list with Liam Farrell banned.
The hosts can welcome back Curtis Naughton and Harrison Hansen to the squad that gave Leeds a real test at Headingley last Friday.
Super League sponsors Betfred make Wigan clear favourites to win this at 2/5, a price that is hard to justify given their awful recent form. Whilst the Warriors were a little unfortunate in losing at Saints a fortnight ago, diabolical defence displays against Wakefield and Hull FC have made the Warriors look down the league table instead of up, in fact a defeat here would surely end any hope of Wigan making the top 4, more likely the Champions playing in the middle 8 for the 2nd year running.
Yes the try count was level at the end of the 80 minutes at the KCOM, but the black and whites took their foot off the gas with the game won. 6 tries amounted to only 26 points for Shaun Wane’s side as goalkicking is another major problem meaning Wigan having to score maybe 3 tries more than their opponents to win a game by a decent margin.
Wigan’s failings at goalkicking is something to bear in mind for total points markets also.
Wigan concede an 8 point start on the handicap for a game where it’s hard to have faith in either side, the Centurions have lost their last 3 home games by double digit margins, so this could be a game to save your money on.
They are the worst 2 sides in the league on current form but the law of averages suggest Wigan will win sometime so they may just sneak home. You can get Wigan only conceding a 6 point start on the handicap if you shop around, and if pushed would go for an away win by around 11-15 points.
A home win though would be no shock, the Leigh fans would love to put one over their near neighbours especially after already beating Saints and Warrington comfortably at home., but you’d want more than the 2/1 available for a home win given their recent run of results at LSV .
The 2/5 for Wigan can be boosted to around even money on the Half Time Full Time but in a game where the lead could change hands 6/1 looks value for Leigh to be winning at Half Time and Wigan to win at Full Time, the reverse is 10/1.
Liam Marshall shows no sign of stopping his amazing try scoring run and 8/1 is great value for him to score the 1st try, Matty Dawson looks value for the hosts at 14/1, mind you ex Warriors Hampshire is too big at 28/1.
The Champions look very vulnerable near their own try line and the value bet of the game could be the 8/1 for Sam Hopkins to score a try anytime in the game.
The total points is set to around 50.5 points, the worry would be both sides goalkicking, you’d probably need over 10 tries to get over that and it’s worth noting that both sides score alot of tries from the flanks.
Finally the man of the match, George Williams ruined Leigh in the reverse fixture and despite being on a quiet spell a generous Leigh defence could be just what he needs to get back to form. 4/1 may seem short odds but they do rate as value given the short price to win the game , as for Leigh Eloi Pesslier just gets the nod for me at 20/1 over 10/1 Drinkwater.
Hull visit Salford on Sky tomorrow , as always please gamble responsibly .