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Trinity 12/5 to beat Champions Wigan

St Helens 12-16 Wakefield Trinity

All 12 Super League sides are in action on a bumper day of our great game with 2 matches live on Sky.

1st up on the gogglebox sees Wigan looking to avenge last seasons 60+ points battering at Wakefield.
These sides had differing fortunes on Good Friday as Wigan beat St Helens and Trinity lost at Cas.

Burgess and Mcillorum miss out for Wigan with Tupou and Arundel out with head knocks for the hosts.

Trinity get a 10 point start on the handicap for this and given their solid home form you have to think they can stay inside that. The Champions had gone 4 games without a win before Fridays success over local rivals Saints but they were given a helping hand by the sending off of Amor with over an hour to go.

Before the Good Friday loss at Cas, Trinity had won 5 of their last 6 and have won their last 3 at home. Some eye catching results of late too,  including a win over Salford and wins at St Helens and Catalans.
Wigan are still missing the bulk of their squad and can’t represent value at 1/3 given they last won away on March 9th.
I think Trinity can make it 4 home wins on the spin and land good value odds of 12/5.
Wigan admittedly are the masters of scraping a win, but I think the home side can get home by 6-10 points.

Liam Marshall heads the 1st try lists at 6/1 and it’s hard to look elsewhere given his amazing try 3 days ago.
Johnstone is the shortest price in a Wakefield shirt  at 8/1, but their maybe a bit more value in 10/1 Ben Jones Bishop.
Don’t forget Betfred double your 1st try odds if your player goes on to score a 2nd try.

Liam Farrell is a good value 9/4 to score a try anytime, as he did in the Good Friday Derby.

Finally the man of the match,  Williams has looked a little out of sorts in recent weeks so is a poor value favourite at 4/1,  I prefer Gelling at around 16/1, he will benefit from another game under his belt.
Young winger Regan Grace had the Wigan defence all over the place last Friday and 16/1 Tom Johnstone could cause similar trouble, so it’s Gelling and Johnstone for me.

The 2nd game sees Red Hot Salford travel to Perpignan to take on Catalans.

The Red Devils have won their last 5 and have scored 100 points in their last 2 away games so will be confident of a win in the South of France. Especially as the Dragons have only won once at home this season.

Salford though have  had a gruelling game against Leigh on Good Friday and the extra days rest the French side have had may just tip this the Dragons way.
Given recent form though I certainly think Salford can stay inside the 6 point start on the handicap in what could be a tight game. No side really appeals in the match odds, the hosts are very short at 4/9, whilst you’d probably want more than 15/8 for the Red Devils to win after a game only 3 days ago. You certainly can’t rule out the draw at 20/1 as I expect this to be close, but if pushed would just fancy the home side by 1-5 points.

Best value for me is the 9/2 that the 1st scoring play is a penalty, both sides would likely take the option of putting points on the board early.

Yaha heads the 1st try market at 6/1, but I think Tony Gigot rates good value at 10/1.
Justin Carney would be my tip for the Red Devils at 8/1.

4 games kick off at 3 o’clock,  Widnes get a massive 20 point start for their trip to Leeds. The Rhinos are unbackable at 1/14 to win this one but scored 50 points to win at Hull on Good Friday and will be looking to do so again.
The Vikings have only had one win all season but did manage a draw in France,  whilst you can’t see them landing odds of 11/2 for a shock win they may just stay inside the handicap.
Surely Leeds will be happy with 2 wins and a clean bill of health over the holiday period.

Leigh are starting to find it really tough in Super League but did push Salford all the way on Friday. They get a 6 point start over a Hull side that have shipped over 100 points in 2 heavy defeats.
The black and whites are really missing  key players like Danny Houghton and offer no appeal at 4/7 to win here.
Whilst 6/4 is short for a Leigh side that have forgotten how to win, I do think they can stay inside the handicap in what could be a close game.

Warrington , now unbeaten for 3 games , concede  a 14 point start at home to Huddersfield . Whilst Wire look capable of missing the middle 8 now the Giants look destined for another bottom 4 finish and haven’t won since February . Warrington though were far from impressive in beating Widnes last Thursday and odds of 1/6 for a home win are still very short for a side in 11th place . 2 of the Giants last 3 away trips have ended in draws and they were gallant in coming back from 14-0 down to draw at St Helens 2 weeks ago , the hosts should win this but it’s a long time since they won a game by 3 scores or more . I can’t have Huddersfield to win at any price , you can get 4/1 here , and think Warrington can get home by around 2 scores .

Finally St Helens get a 6 point start on the handicap as they host table toppers Castleford, in what for me is the game of the day.
Saints showed plenty of spirit after Amor was sent off on Friday to make you think they can keep this close, but playing nearly 70 minutes against Wigan with 12 men will surely take it out of today’s hosts.
The Tigers should land match win odds of 4/9 to win the game and could run riot late on if Saints tire, but the handicap line does seem about right.
The 4/9 for an away win can be boosted to 10/11 on the Half Time Full Time but in an entertaining game there may be value in the 6/1 for Saints to be winning at Half Time and Cas to win at Full Time.
It’s 15/8 for the Red V to be the 2nd team to beat Cas this season.

Back Friday for Widnes against St Helens, as always please gamble responsibly.

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