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Super League’s top eight run-ins ranked with St Helens facing toughest schedule

St Helens boss Paul Wellens on the sidelines

With just four rounds of the regular Super League season, the race for the playoffs gets more dramatic each week as clubs prove that they can beat anyone on their day, making the final few rounds of games so much more important. Currently, there are eight teams all in with a chance of making the playoffs, but only six can enter the final stage of the season, so who will miss out?

A dominant victory from Leeds Rhinos last week saw them overcome league leaders Hull KR, who sit four points ahead at the top of the table. All of the R0bins’ remaining games are against teams in the top eight, meaning they will have to be at their best if they are to keep hold of their first League Leaders Shield of the summer era.

Wigan Warriors’ dismantling of Wakefield Trinity has put Daryl Powell’s side on the back foot in their current battle with Hull FC to make the six, however, the remaining fixtures for those two sides means there will be plenty more movement in the table before the final whistle is called on the regular season.

Here is the final run-in for all the current top eight clubs, as we rank how tough their final games of the season are compared to the teams around them.

Which Super League club has the easiest and hardest end to the season?

Hull KR

Current position: 1st, 38pts, +484 points dif.

Remaining games: St Helens (H), Hull FC (H), Wakefield (A), Warrington (H)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 6.00

The Robins have almost certainly wrapped up top spot in the regular season, and doing so would mean their second piece of silverware this season, after already winning the Challenge Cup. However, after a gruelling battle that saw them edge out Wigan, combined with the poor performance against Leeds, they need to regroup quickly if they are to pick up any good momentum heading into the playoffs. Three wins from their final four will guarantee them the League Leaders Shield, but two victories should also be enough.

Wigan Warriors

Current position: 2nd, 34pts, +339 points diff.

Remaining games: Catalans (A), St Helens (A), Castleford (H), Leeds (H)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 6.75

Wigan have a mixed bag of remaining games, as two huge games against Saints and Leeds are paired with two ‘easier’ fixtures against Catalans and Castleford. Wigan simply have to keep winning to maintain the pressure on the Rovers, whilst also keeping that two point gap between the Saints and the Rhinos. The top two spot could well come down to that final day fixture against Brad Arthur’s men.

St Helens

Current position: 3rd, 32pts, +397 points diff.

Remaining games: Hull KR (A), Wigan (H), Leigh (A), Castleford (H)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 4.75

St Helens have the hardest run-in of all clubs, as they face three of the top five to round off the regular season. After four wins on the spin, Paul Wellens’ men will be full of confidence that they can push on and earn some huge victories in the coming weeks.

It is worth noting that Saints have a much better points difference over Leeds and Wigan, and if they were to finish level on points with someone else, that differential will come into play and would likely see them finish above rival clubs.

Leeds Rhinos

Current position: 4th, 32pts, +264 points diff.

Remaining games: Hull FC (A), Huddersfield (A), Catalans (H), Wigan (A)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 6.75

The Wigan v Leeds fixture to end the season is one of, if not the biggest game still to come. You would expect Leeds to pick up three wins from their next three, and if Wigan lose to Saints there could be a potential three teams all on the same amount of points going into the final round. Predicting who finishes where from 2nd to 5th is a lottery at this stage, with every week providing different twists and turns.

Leigh Leopards

Current position: 5th, 31pts, +73 points diff:

Remaining games: Castleford (H), Warrington (A), St Helens (H), Huddersfield (H)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 8.00

Leigh have the easiest run in of the top-two-chasing sides, facing only one of the current top six in their final four matches. The Leopards have proven they are a real contender this season, after victories over Hull KR, Wigan and Saints. But, after defeats to Leeds and Hull FC, combined with a poor first half against Salford, Adrian Lam needs to find a fix to his side’s recent form before they get to the knockout stage. Their game against Saints in the penultimate round will be seen as must-win if they are to guarantee a home playoff tie.

Hull FC

Current position 6th, 25pts, + 98 points diff.

Remaining games: Leeds (H), Hull KR (A), Warrington (H), Catalans (H)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 5.50

Hull FC’s job is simple, match or better whatever result Wakefield put out and they are in the six. However, that is easier said than done given that the Black and Whites’ remaining fixtures are a whole lot harder than Trinity’s. Hosting Leeds this week then playing a Hull derby could leave FC with no wins in their next two, meanwhile Wakefield host Huddersfield and Castleford – two games you expect them to win comfortably.

Wakefield Trinity

Current position: 7th, 24pts, +138 points diff.

Remaining games: Huddersfield (H), Castleford (A), Hull KR (H), Salford (A)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 8.50

Wakefield’s run in is the easiest of the top eight, as they the current bottom three sides in their last four games. Victory in those games will put them on 30 points, forcing Hull FC to win at least three of their remaining four to stay in the six. A home victory against Hull KR isn’t out of the question either, and a win in that one would put even more pressure on the John Cartwright’s side.

Warrington Wolves

Current position: 8th, 20pts, -86 points diff.

Remaining games: Salford (H), Leigh (H), Hull FC (A), Hull KR (A)

Avg. league position of remaining fixtures: 6.00

Warrington have had a poor season under Sam Burgess, and if they were to somehow pull off a late charge and make the six, they probably wouldn’t deserve it over the course of the season. The remaining few games for Wire need to have one eye on next year. Youngster Leon Hayes was supposed to be the starting seven, but an ACL injury has ruled him out up to now, after making his return in the reserves, four games to see out the season would be a good way to start his preparation for next season.

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