Leeds make the short trip to Wakefield for Thursday night Rugby looking to back up a very good win over Champions Wigan last week.
It followed a heavy loss to Hull in the cup semi final and there’s no doubt it helped them to have a big game to put the defeat at Doncaster behind them.
Wakefield on the other hand have had 2 poor defeats in a row, they only had to avoid a heavy defeat at home to St Helens in the last game of the regular season to secure a top 4 finish for their punters at big odds and lost by 25 points to surrender 4th to Salford then last week lost badly at Huddersfield.
A play off semi final looks a long way off now after just 2 wins in 6 games which is shown by the odds of around 11/4 to win the game. They are prone to going on long losing runs, they didn’t start playing until the middle 8 started in 2015 and were out of their depth in the Super 8 last year.
You have to fancy the 4/11 Rhinos to win here especially when you consider they have won their last 4 in the league if you discount the loss at Wigan 3 weeks ago, when they rested 13 players.
They were very impressive bouncing back to beat a Wigan side who had only lost once in 6 last week and look very good for a top 2 finish and the home semi final that comes with it.
Trinity are a punters nightmare though, the way last year ended with no wins in the Super 8 is very worrying but there’s no doubt they’ll be up for this. In the middle of all the poor results is a win over Warrington, one of the few sides to beat the Wolves in recent weeks.
The bookies give Wakefield a 12 point start on the handicap in places, 10 is available for Rhinos punters, and I think they can stay inside that. They only lost by 2 points at home to Leeds in the regular season and only lost by a point to Castleford, their home results look alot better if you discount the Saints game as a one off ( Saints are also the form side in the league) . Coach Chris Chester deserves enormous credit for getting his side into the Super 8 again but they seem to be playing for pride now.
Leeds have the ability to blow sides away like they did to Salford a few weeks back but will be happy to get the job done here and I think Trinity can stay inside a 2 score handicap with the Rhinos winning by around 6-10 points.
Confident Rhino backers can get around 8/11 for them on the Half Time Full Time but I like the Wakefield winning at Half Time and Leeds winning at Full Time at around 13/2.
Ryan Hall heads the 1st try market at 9/1 but it’s Kallum Watkins for me, who’s getting back to his best, at 12/1.
Trinity fans may look to 12/1 Ben Jones Bishop. Danny Kirmond though is way too big at 40/1.
Finally the man of the match, a hat trick for Stevie Ward landed him the honours last week and he is 20/1 to follow up today, this shows why this market should only be for fun bets as it’s notoriously hard to predict.
Moon and Parcell share favoritism at 9/1, Parcell is the signing of the season for me and stood out a mile against Wigan last week and gets my vote tonight, Danny Mcguire is an obvious danger at 12/1 in a wide open market.
Miller is the shortest price in Trinity colours at 12/1 but goal kicking could be crucial so Liam Finn would be my choice at 16/1, Sam Williams is also a danger at 20/1.
Castleford visit Salford tomorrow as always please gamble responsibly.