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Hull clear favourites to book a semi final spot

Another game featuring a side with nothing to play for live on Sky tonight as this  Super 8 process thankfully nears it’s end.

Saints win at Salford last night means Hull need a win at Wheldon Road tonight to guarantee a place in the semi final and a trip to Leeds next Friday.

Daryl Powell has finally taken then opportunity to rest key players for this one so the bookies understandably make the black and whites clear favourites.
Hardaker, Holmes, Millington,Milner and Shenton are all rested but the Tigers do still have the likes of Hitchcox and Ben Roberts to come back in, Luke Gale is still out with his appendix injury.
Chris Green, who has had similar problems to Gale is added to the FC squad that narrowly beat Wakefield last week.

Castleford have had nothing to play for since the win over Wakefield 3 rounds ago but have kept up the momentum winning their last 5 and are best priced at 2/1 to win this . Hull are one of the few sides they’ve struggled to beat this year, but despite the changes you  do get the feeling Powell will want to keep the momentum going into the play offs.
A win for the Tigers could see them host a Wigan side in the semi who they have beaten comfortably 3 times this season so they do have an incentive to win.

This is obviously a bigger game though for the visitors and they are around 2/5 to get the 2 points,  their form since Wembley isn’t that good though and last week’s fortunate win over Trinity was their 1st in 3 games. Lee Radford has managed his squad as they seek the double but they have only won 3 of their 6 games in this process.

Another game where anything can happen but Hull’s last 3 wins have been by inside 5 points and with more at stake that could happen again here.
Possibly another game to avoid due to the circumstances but I think the value could be with the Tigers getting a 6 point start on the handicap
Cas managed to beat St Helens last time they put out a weakened side and they still have the likes of the influential Mcshane in the side aswell as last week’s hat trick hero Jake Trueman. Hull do tend to get the job done when needed and they may just get home albeit at very short odds.

Talanoa and Fonua head 1st try lists at 10/1,  I’d just favour the latter. As for Cas,  Eden is the shortest price at 12/1 but Trueman looks great value at a massive 35/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair.
Mind you the best odds could be the 9/2 that he scores a try anytime in the game.

Finally the man of the match, whilst Houghton at 9/1 and Kelly at 10/1are obvious dangers you get the feeling that Sneyds kicks wide could be crucial so he would have to be the pick at 7/1,  Trueman will be in the limelight and whilst he is a danger at 10/1 my pick would be Ben Roberts at around the same odds.

One other game in the Super 8 sees Leeds concede an 8 point start for their trip to Huddersfield.
Another dead rubber but the Giants will be looking to go out on a high after an average season.
Huddersfield have been competitive at home of late and with Leeds surely having an eye on next week you’d think they could certainly stay inside the 8 point cap.
The Rhinos are way too short at around 2/5 with nothing at stake and it certainly would be no surprise if Huddersfield landed odds of around 2/1 to win the game.

Finally one game in the middle 8 sees London get a 12 point start for their home game against Leigh.
The Broncos have been very competitive in this despite only winning once but the Centurions will be looking to rack up the points to ensure home advantage for next week’s million pound game, which they are guaranteed to be in.
You have to think Leigh will get home, but odds of 2/9 are very short . Warrington only managed a win by 2 points here a fortnight ago and whilst Leigh may get home I think it will be by less than 12 points in what could be a close high scoring game.
Best value could be going high on total points, the 3 home games so far at London have wielded an average of over 60 points a game.

Massive game between Catalans and Widnes tomorrow, as always please gamble responsibly.

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