Can 10/3 Salford inflict 1st home loss on league leaders ?

The Sky Cameras are at the jungle for Friday night Rugby as high-flying Castleford take on Salford.
The Red Devils inflicted the 1st defeat of the season on the Tigers back in March but Daryl Powell’s side have never looked back since.
Castleford have won their last 10 in Super League, but did lose in the cup to Hull, Salford have had a bit of a blip lately losing 3 of their last 5.

Milner, Webster and Patrick sit this one out for Cas whilst Sa’u is banned for the Red Devils.

It’s no surprise that the Tigers are 2/9 favourites for this as their home form is rock solid. Given the Red Devils scratchy form of late you’d want more than the 10/3 for an away win but they do get a 12 point start on the handicap.
A long season is starting to catch up with Salford though and I fear they could get caught by St Helens by the time the play offs come around. The cup semi against Wigan is just around the corner and this could be their best chance of getting to a big final.
The Tigers haven’t been winning games by big margins in recent weeks but being out of the Cup leaves them with just the league to focus on and I think they can cover the 12 point handicap and win a high scoring game by around 16-20 points.

Eden looks the best bet for the 1st try at around 7/1, Evalds looks the man to follow in red at 14/1.

Finally the man of the match,  Gales kicking could be crucial in a high scoring game so he is hard to oppose as a 5/1 favourite and I just prefer him to 14/1 Paul Mcshane.
As for the Red Devils the likes of Dobson at 12/1 and Lui at 14/1 both have good claims but Murdoch-Masila is the man of the moment in red and great value at 33/1 so it’s him and Gale for me.

3 other games tonight, the other 2 sides in the top 4,  Leeds and Hull FC clash at Headingley. Both sides have been a little inconsistent this season but Leeds are on a run now of only one defeat in 6 but FC have now lost their last 2 and have to do without influential Albert Kelly for the trip up the M62.

Worth noting that these 2 meet again in the cup in 3 weeks time so that could have a little effect but this is a massive game for both clubs.
Home advantage sees the Rhinos 8/13 favourites with Betfred and with a good home record against the black and whites they may just get home. It’s around 6/4 for Hull to get revenge for the trouncing they received from Leeds back in April.

Huddersfield are very short at 1/6 to beat Leigh and condemn Warrington to the middle 8. The Centurions have lost the last 3 and were awful at Warrington last week. You certainly can’t see them landing odds of 4/1 to win the game on current form and given Huddersfields form at home you have to think they can win this by more than the 14 point handicap.

Finally Widnes are 11/8 to beat Wakefield on the I Pitch. Widnes tend to be harder to beat at home and whilst this could be close the value could be in the Vikings getting a 4 point start on the handicap.
Wakefield are 8/13 to win this but have been very inconsistent in recent weeks. This game could go either way for me.

Super League is back on Thursday as always please gamble responsibly.

avatar
  Subscribe  
Notify of