Time to move on from the saga around last year’s top try scorer and have a look at the betting for this year’s competition.
As we’ve said previously, you need to check bookmaker rules before placing your bet as some will settle on just the first 23 games and some will include the games in the Super and Middle 8s – while excluding the play-off finals.
Super League sponsors Betfred include all Super 8 games in their try scorer market. Most firms have Wigan’s Joe Burgess as a clear favourite in the market, Bet 365 have him at 13/2 and that is for the 23 game regular season.
I’ll do my betting preview for the season the week before Super League starts but, spoiler alert, I do rate Wigan very highly this year.
Burgess scored plenty of tries in 2015, including one in the Grand Final, and despite being left out of the Roosters side before his switch to the Bunnies last season, he will have learned a lot down under.
He has bags of pace and knows his way to the try line. For me 13/2 to finish top of the try charts is great value. His only rival would have been Dom Manfredi, but he will miss a large chunk of the season with the ACL he picked up last season. He is available at 8/1 in places but I can’t stress enough the need to check local rules.
Three men share second favouritism at around 14/1, Adam Swift, Jermaine McGillvary and Ryan Hall. Whilst you would have to class speedster Swift as a threat, McGillvary for me is playing in a poor Giants side and Hall has struggled to find form in recently.
Greg Eden and Tommy Makinson are around the 16/1 mark, the talented Cas back line could provide plenty of chances for Eden and he will have his backers, but Makinson has to be discounted due to recent injury problems.
Lewis Tierney is an interesting option at 20/1 and that will look a big price if Manfredi misses the whole regular season.
A host of players are available at the same odds and these include the likes of Justin Carney and Wire flyer Tom Lineham , also Widnes’ free scoring winger Corey Thompson.
Tom Johnstone was a revelation last season and his 33/1 will be very popular in parts of West Yorkshire. Salford fans may want a piece of the for Junior Sa’u at 66/1, the same price as Leigh’s Matty Dawson.
It is a wide open market so you have to look for some value, Mahe Fonua is rumoured to be switching to the wing for Hull this season and that makes his 50/1 quote very interesting (he was 100/1 in a place). The 50/1 still looks value to me and he is favoured to his 25/1 club teammate Fetuli Talanoa.
The 66/1 for Ben Currie looks big but he looks set to miss a large chunk of the start of the season with the injury picked up at the end of last season. Click here to go to the Bet 365 Top Tryscorer odds on their website.
Please gamble responsibly.
