Sky will be hoping for a closer game tonight than what we got last night as Castleford hammered Leeds.
They have chosen the game at Langtree Park over the Battle of the Borough derby between Wigan and Leigh, but bookies make both games one sided so could it be the same again?
Wakefield make the dreaded Friday night trip over the Pennines to take on a Saints side that lost badly to Leigh last week.
New signing Zeb Taia should make his Saints debut after being named in Keiron Cunningham’s squad but Jonny Lomax misses out. Ben Jones-Bishop and Anthony Walker are out injured for Trinity.
Super League sponsors Betfred give Wakefield a 12-point handicap for this one but I think they may need more than that given their poor start to the season.
They lost to a very average Huddersfield side last week, who got well beaten at home last night, and have a poor record at St Helens.
Saints average over 40 points a game at home against Wakefield in recent years and it’s way back in 2010 the last time Trinity managed to stay inside tonight’s two-score handicap.
Both sides have had indifferent starts to the season, but you can expect the Saints players will have had a rocket from their Coach after last week’s defeat. I think they can win this by around 16-20 points in a high scoring game.
The Red V are usually quite reliable at home against sides outside the top four and should have too much for tonight’s opponents.
Saints are very short in the match betting at around 1/4 but you would certainly want more than 7/2 for the visitors given their poor record at Langtree Park.
Adam Swift heads the first try lists at 5/1 and it could be wise sticking to the wingers as the likes of Greg Eden and Joe Burgess have been scoring tries for fun so far this season. Swift could fill his boots tonight.
Tom Johnstone also rates decent value at around 10/1, don’t forget Betfred double your first try odds if your player goes onto score a second try, as Greg Eden did last night, please check T&C’s.
I prefer the anytime try bet and Louie McCarthy-Scarsbrook looks good value to crash over at about 3/1. Saints like to give the ball to a big forward to crash over from close in.
Finally the dreaded Man of the Match. Another crazy choice from Sky last night as Hardaker even admitted himself there were better players on the pitch.
It shows the volatility of the bet in that last year Gale would have won it for his personal points tally. We’ve always said it is only for fun bets as you can get some bizarre choices, I’m still having Remi Casty nightmares.
James Roby and Theo Fages are fair enough favourites at around 6/1 but debutant Zeb Taia could attract the attention of the Sky team and he looks overpriced at 20/1.
As for the visitors, Jacob Miller would need to have the game of his life for Trinity to pull off a shock and at 40/1 he is just preferred to 25/1 Liam Finn. So it’s Taia and Miller for me.
One other game tonight and Leigh get a 16-point start for their battle of the borough at neighbours Wigan.
The Centurions will be cock-a-hoop after their first win of the season against Saints last week. Wigan put the embarrassing match postponement behind them with a come-from-behind win against Widnes.
Wigan are unbackable at around 1/8 to win tonight, it’s still only two weeks after the gruelling win over Cronulla and a fired up Leigh could give them a game.
The Warriors only won one regular season home game by more than tonight’s 16 point handicap and, if you take away the first half against Castleford, Leigh have been competitive so far in the league.
You can get a massive 5/1 for the noisy neighbours to take the two points back to Leigh but I just think Wigan may have too much. I think it’ll be closer than some think though and Wigan to win by 1-12 points could be where the value lies at around 5/2.
I certainly think Leigh can stay inside the handicap as they continue their improvement.
There is an extra game on Sky tomorrow as Widnes travel to the South of France.
As always, please gamble responsibly.